Hilo

Tonight: Occasional showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 65 to 72 near the shore to 53 to 58 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Tuesday: Partly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs 78 to 83 near the shore to 62 to 68 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Lows 65 to 71 near the shore to around 56 at 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Kona

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the evening, then partly cloudy with isolated showers after midnight. Lows around 73 near the shore to 52 to 58 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday: Partly sunny. Isolated showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 82 to 87 near the shore to around 68 near 5000 feet. Light winds becoming west up to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows 67 to 74 near the shore to 51 to 56 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Waimea

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Numerous showers in the evening, then scattered showers after midnight. Lows 64 to 72 near the shore to 56 to 65 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 81 near the shore to 66 to 78 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday Night: Breezy. Partly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. Lows 64 to 72 near the shore to 56 to 66 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Kohala

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Numerous showers in the evening, then scattered showers after midnight. Lows 64 to 72 near the shore to 56 to 65 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 81 near the shore to 66 to 78 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday Night: Breezy. Partly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. Lows 64 to 72 near the shore to 56 to 66 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

South Big Island

Tonight: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows around 75 near the shore to around 59 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 83 near the shore to around 68 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds up to 25 mph shifting to the east 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 75 near the shore to around 58 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Puna

Tonight: Occasional showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 65 to 72 near the shore to 53 to 58 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Tuesday: Partly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs 78 to 83 near the shore to 62 to 68 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Lows 65 to 71 near the shore to around 56 at 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Waikoloa

Tonight: Mostly clear. Windy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows around 75 near the shore to 51 to 59 above 4000 feet. East winds up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday: Sunny and breezy. Highs 83 to 89 near the shore to 66 to 71 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 75 near the shore to 51 to 58 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

A breezy and stable trade wind flow will prevail through much of the week as surface high pressure holds north of the state. Pockets of moisture moving in the trades will focus rainfall over windward and mauka areas with showers briefly passing over leeward areas.

Update

Rough surf along north facing shores will continue a slow decline, and the High Surf Advisory has been cancelled.

Prev discussion

Issued at 329 PM HST Mon Nov 2 2026 Gusty trade winds are in place as stable conditions build over the islands. A robust 1028 mb surface high is settling several hundred miles north of the state as a diffuse front dissipated near the islands today. Breezy trade winds have developed in most areas, and as a mid level ridge builds southward over the islands, an inversion based between 5,000 to 7,000 ft is producing increasingly stable conditions. As this stable trade wind flow interacts with terrain, gusty downslope winds have developed across some leeward portions of Big Island and Maui, where a Wind Advisory has been issued. A batch of moisture that kept Oahu rather wet this morning has cleared, with another area moving onto windward Big Island. On most islands, shower activity will be modest and largely confined to windward areas through remainder of the afternoon, while windward Big Island remains somewhat wet.
For tonight, expect the trades to remain unchanged through the evening followed by a slight decline during the early morning hours. Winds are expected to diminish slightly as a band of moisture within the trade wind flow moves westward to around Kauai and Oahu. This feature will likely weaken the local pressure gradient and trade winds very slightly but enough for the Wind Advisory to be cancelled. Also, shower activity should pick up on windward Kauai and Oahu.
The stable breezy trade wind flow will persist through at least Friday. Surface high pressure will hold north of the islands and maintain breezy and gusty trade winds. Pockets of moisture within the trades will focus showers over windward areas, and stability from ridging aloft will keep shower intensity moderate.
Uncertainty increases this weekend, but moderate to breezy trade winds will likely persist. Over the next few days, we will continue to watch an area of potential tropical cyclone development far southeast of the state. Guidance continues to suggest that this system should pass south of the islands this weekend, but it will need to be closely monitored. Trade winds could ease slightly Sunday as a weakening front approaches. This feature may bring some increase in shower activity for Kauai Sunday or next Monday.

Aviation

Issued at 329 PM HST Mon Nov 2 2026 Earlier windward showers have largely diminished with VFR for area TAF sites. Trade winds remain moderate to strong, which has been quite gusty for some areas. This will continue into the evening, with some areas seeing lesser winds overnight. Expect trades to continue tomorrow with -SHRA/VCSH generally for windward areas. LLWS was added for PHKO, but that should improve later this evening.
AIRMET Sierra is in effect for mountain obscuration for Oahu and Maui, and for the Big Island from Upolu Point to Cape Kumukahi to South Cape, for clouds and showers above 2000 feet.
AIRMET Tango is in effect for moderate turbulence between FL220 and FL350 statewide due to an upper level disturbance. AIRMET Tango is also in effect to cover moderate turbulence downwind of terrain statewide below 8000 feet. SIGMET OSCAR for severe turbulence has been cancelled.

Marine

Issued at 329 PM HST Mon Nov 2 2026 Dominant high pressure north of the area will maintain fresh to locally strong trade winds through most of the week and into the weekend with slight day to day fluctuations. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) is in effect though Tuesday for the combination of winds for most waters and seas above 10 feet for areas exposed to a moderate north- northwest swell. The 10 foot seas will drop off tonight, but the winds will remain, therefore the SCA will likely be extended further into the week.
Surf along north- and west-facing shores will likely remain at High Surf Advisory level conditions through the remainder of the afternoon as the current moderate, north-northwest swell continues to drop today. Offshore buoy data has stopped coming in as of early this morning, so some uncertainty exists regarding when exactly the advisory level surf will drop below thresholds. Therefore the advisory will be allowed to expire at 6pm. Surf will then become small by Wednesday. Another moderate, long period northwest swell arrives Wednesday night and will likely push north and west shore surf back to advisory levels Thursday into Friday. A medium- period swell fills in on Saturday, likely prolonging moderate to large surf action into the weekend.
The current moderate, medium period south swell will continue a gradual decline through Tuesday. South shore surf will be tiny through much of the week with little southerly background energy reaching the islands. East-facing shores will see an increase in trade wind swell as strong northeast winds remain. Surf along east-facing shores will stay big and choppy through much of the week with the trades.

Fire weather

Issued at 329 PM HST Mon Nov 2 2026 Breezy winds during the next several days will produce moderate fire weather conditions since recent rainfall has likely limited the widespread availability of receptive fuels. The temperature inversion near Big Island will range from 6000 to 8000 ft over the next few days.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory until 6 AM HST Tuesday for Big Island North, Kohala, Lanai Mauka, Maui Central Valley South, Maui Leeward West, Maui Windward West, South Haleakala.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Tuesday for Alenuihaha Channel, Big Island Leeward Waters, Big Island Southeast Waters, Kaiwi Channel, Kauai Channel, Kauai Leeward Waters, Kauai Northwest Waters, Kauai Windward Waters, Maalaea Bay, Maui County Leeward Waters, Maui County Windward Waters, Oahu Leeward Waters, Oahu Windward Waters, Pailolo Channel.

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Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov