Hilo

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows 69 to 75 near the shore to around 63 at 4000 feet. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Friday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs around 84 near the shore to around 70 at 4000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 65 to 72 near the shore to around 57 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Kona

Rest Of Tonight: Breezy. Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 71 to 77 near the shore to 55 to 60 near 5000 feet. South winds up to 20 mph shifting to the east up to 10 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday: Mostly sunny. Scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 86 to 91 near the shore to around 72 near 5000 feet. West winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows 73 to 78 near the shore to 53 to 58 near 5000 feet. Southwest winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Waimea

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 68 to 75 near the shore to 62 to 69 near 3000 feet. West winds up to 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday: Breezy. Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 85 near the shore to 73 to 82 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 64 to 73 near the shore to 55 to 65 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Kohala

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 68 to 75 near the shore to 62 to 69 near 3000 feet. West winds up to 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday: Breezy. Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 85 near the shore to 73 to 82 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 64 to 73 near the shore to 55 to 65 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

South Big Island

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Numerous showers early in the evening, then scattered showers after midnight. Lows around 77 near the shore to around 61 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Friday: Breezy. Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 85 near the shore to around 71 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph decreasing to up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows around 74 near the shore to around 58 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 25 mph.

Puna

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows 69 to 75 near the shore to around 63 at 4000 feet. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Friday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs around 84 near the shore to around 70 at 4000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 65 to 72 near the shore to around 57 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Waikoloa

Rest Of Tonight: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers early in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 73 to 78 near the shore to 57 to 62 above 4000 feet. Southwest winds up to 15 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday: Mostly sunny. Isolated showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 86 to 92 near the shore to 70 to 76 above 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Breezy. Isolated showers after midnight. Lows around 75 near the shore to 53 to 59 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Showers will decrease in coverage and intensity tonight into Friday. After southeast winds Friday, trades will build back in this weekend and extend well into next week. This will be a relatively dry trade pattern. However, windward and mauka areas will still see occasional showers.

Short term update

Scattered showers to continue across the state this evening. No major changes were made as the previous forecast is on track.

Prev discussion

Issued at 309 PM HST Thu Oct 8 2026
As of 3 PM HST, radar showed showers, some heavy, over Oahu and Molokai, with less intense showers over the other islands. Satellite showed partly to mostly cloudy skies. Winds were gusty and generally out of the south, with the strongest gusts occurring where orographic effects were combined with nearby showers (such as Kahului and on Molokai).
An upper level low to our northwest has been helping to bring heavy rain to parts of the state the past 24 hours. Coupled with an area of enhanced moisture drawn northward from the tropics, flash flooding was seen on both Kauai and Oahu. The event ended last night in Kauai as dry air moved in from the southwest. This dry air has now reached Oahu, and heavy rain will taper down over the next few hours. Scattered to numerous light showers are still expected overnight, however.
The upper level low is forecast to slowly fill and remain nearly stationary through Sunday before weakening into an open wave and moving off to the northeast early next week. With the low still nearby and not weakened sufficiently yet, showers remain in the forecast but decrease in intensity and coverage Friday into early Saturday. Winds will come out of the southeast during this period. A surface high will build to our northeast this weekend, and will help bring trades back to the region. Even though this trade pattern will be relatively dry, windward and mauka areas will still see occasional showers as areas with slightly more moisture move through periodically. Models are hinting at one of these areas moving through in the Tue/Wed time frame, but confidence in timing this far out is not high.

Aviation

On Friday we briefly transition back into easterly trade winds in a drier weather pattern lasting through the weekend. Enhanced showers with periods of MVFR conditions will linger into early Friday morning. Then mostly VFR conditions through Sunday.
AIRMET Sierra remains in effect for mountain obscuration for all islands. This AIRMET will likely continue through early Friday morning.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for low level turbulence downwind of terrain. In southerly winds, the favored areas are over and immediately northwest through northeast of island mountains.

Marine

Issued at 309 PM HST Thu Oct 8 2026
A low pressure system to the north will result in moderate south to southeast winds and enhanced showers across the state into Friday. Weak trades may nose in from the east this weekend and early next week, but a trough will remain west of the area keeping winds fairly light across the western half of the state.
Moderate south swell will continue into next week with a long period reinforcement arriving Saturday. Surf along south facing shores will remain just below advisory levels during this time before declining by the middle of next week.
Moderate surf is also expected along north and west facing shores through Friday and declining through the weekend. A slightly larger swell will arrive around Tuesday, boosting north shore surf but staying below advisory levels. West facing shores will be impacted by both the northwest and south swells, but surf should stay below advisory levels. Surf along east facing shores will remain small as local winds remain fairly weak.

Fire weather

Issued at 309 PM HST Thu Oct 8 2026
Continued showers and a humid airmass will be with us tonight. The chance for widespread rainfall will diminish on Friday while humid and light southeast winds prevail. Light to moderate easterly trade winds are expected this weekend and into early next week. The inversion has been wiped out and will redevelop as trades return this weekend.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.

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Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov