Hilo

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 63 to 71 near the shore to around 58 at 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday: Partly sunny with scattered showers in the morning, then mostly sunny with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 67 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 64 to 71 near the shore to around 59 at 4000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Kona

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly clear. Isolated showers early in the evening. Lows 65 to 74 near the shore to around 54 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday: Sunny. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs 83 to 89 near the shore to around 67 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows 66 to 74 near the shore to around 54 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Waimea

Rest Of Tonight: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 64 to 72 near the shore to 58 to 65 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 81 near the shore to 69 to 78 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 65 to 73 near the shore to 59 to 66 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Kohala

Rest Of Tonight: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 64 to 72 near the shore to 58 to 65 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 81 near the shore to 69 to 78 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 65 to 73 near the shore to 59 to 66 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

South Big Island

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows around 74 near the shore to around 56 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 86 near the shore to around 66 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows around 74 near the shore to around 57 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph.

Puna

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 63 to 71 near the shore to around 58 at 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday: Partly sunny with scattered showers in the morning, then mostly sunny with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 67 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 64 to 71 near the shore to around 59 at 4000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Waikoloa

Rest Of Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 74 near the shore to around 55 above 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 86 near the shore to 65 to 71 above 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 68 to 75 near the shore to around 55 above 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Slightly weaker trade wind flow is expected on Tuesday with a few light windward showers. Wednesday into Thursday, light easterly flow will lead to the development of daytime sea breezes and nighttime land breezes. Thus, most cloud cover and shower activity will be limited to interior and mountain areas during the afternoons. In addition, deeper moisture moving in from the southeast Wednesday through Friday should bring increased shower chances to the Big Island and Maui.

Short term update

Minor adjustments were made to PoPs to account for current trends. Otherwise previous forecast is on track.

Prev discussion

Issued at 352 PM HST Mon Jun 15 2026
This afternoon, mostly dry and stable conditions are prevailing across the main Hawaiian Islands. Rain gauges across the state reveal that even the few showers that are present are light, with the vast majority of the state picking up no measurable rainfall today. High pressure centered far northeast of the island chain is steering locally breezy trade winds over the region.
Tonight, an upper level trough and its associated surface front will move eastward, north of the state. As this occurs, the high pressure to the northeast will become displaced farther away, weakening local trade wind flow. Moderate trades will continue Tuesday, with little overall change in the weather pattern and a few light windward showers.
By Wednesday, the local pressure gradient is expected to weaken even further, with background winds becoming light and variable. Daytime heating, combined with weak surface flow, will lead to daytime sea breezes and nighttime land breezes. Clouds and showers should mainly be limited to over the island interiors and mountainous terrain, particularly during the day. By late Wednesday or Wednesday night, however, global forecast models remain consistent in a pocket of deeper moisture associated with a weak surface trough moving northward from the southeast towards the Big Island. This feature could act to increase shower coverage, especially along eastern portions of the Big Island. Long range models continue to push this band of moisture up through Maui County and, to a lesser extent, Oahu on Thursday into Friday before lifting it northward. Light southeast flow, combined with this batch of moisture, could lead to an increase in shower activity over the islands interiors during the afternoons. More typical trade wind weather should return by this weekend.

Aviation

Moderate trades will continue through the period. Low cigs and SHRA will impact windward an mauka locations. MVFR conds possible otherwise VFR prevails.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for mod turb over the Big Island between FL300 to FL400.

Marine

Issued at 352 PM HST Mon Jun 15 2026
Moderate to fresh trade winds will become light to moderate by the middle of the week as a couple of surface troughs develop northwest of the state, weakening the surface ridge north of the area. The ridge will strengthen late in the week and over the weekend as the troughs weaken and lift far north, allowing fresh to moderate trades to return.
A large, long period south southwest swell will maintain warning level surf through tonight. A High Surf Warning remains in effect until 6 AM HST Tuesday for all south-facing shores. Buoy 51002 readings this afternoon have dropped a foot since this morning and are now hovering around 4 to 5 feet at 15 to 16 seconds. Continue to expect a slow decline in surf as this large swell fades over the next couple of days. Surf along south-facing shores will drop to High Surf Advisory (HSA) levels by Tuesday morning and then could further drop below HSA levels Wednesday. Another south southwest swell is expected to fill in Wednesday night into Thursday that could push surf back up to advisory levels.
Very little swell energy is arriving along north-facing shores, keeping surf tiny to flat. A small bump in surf is possible for north-facing shores Tuesday into Wednesday with the arrival of a small northwest swell and a smaller north swell. Surf along east-facing shores will remain below average as winds ease through midweek.
A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for minor coastal flooding of vulnerable low-lying coastal roadways, docks, boat ramps and other coastal infrastructure due to King Tides. King Tides combined with water levels that are running higher than predicted will lead to minor flooding potential around the daily peak tide, which will be during the late afternoon and early evening hours, through Tuesday and possibly Wednesday. While minor coastal flooding is expected along all shorelines, the combination of the large south southwest swell and peak daily high tides will make low-lying coastal areas along south and west shores susceptible to more widespread coastal flooding for another day or so.
A Marine Weather Statement also remains in effect due to the large, long-period south southwest swell producing harbor surges and breaking waves near harbor entrances along south and west-facing harbors.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

High Surf Warning until 6 AM HST Tuesday for Big Island South, Big Island Southeast, East Honolulu, Ewa Plain, Honolulu Metro, Kahoolawe, Kauai South, Kauai Southwest, Kipahulu, Kohala, Kona, Lanai Leeward, Lanai South, Maui Central Valley South, Maui Leeward West, Molokai Leeward South, Molokai Southeast, Niihau, South Haleakala, South Maui/Upcountry, Waianae Coast.

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Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov