Hilo

Tonight: Cloudy. Frequent showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 57 to 66 near the shore to 48 to 54 at 4000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight. Gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Sunday: Cloudy. Frequent showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon. Highs 72 to 77 near the shore to around 59 at 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Sunday Night: Cloudy with frequent showers. Lows 55 to 65 near the shore to 46 to 54 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Kona

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows 67 to 72 near the shore to 45 to 51 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday: Partly sunny. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 83 near the shore to around 65 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows around 69 near the shore to 45 to 50 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Waimea

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 58 to 68 near the shore to 51 to 60 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday: Windy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 75 near the shore to 65 to 73 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 30 mph increasing to 10 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Windy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 57 to 67 near the shore to 50 to 58 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Kohala

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Lows 58 to 68 near the shore to 51 to 60 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday: Windy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 75 near the shore to 65 to 73 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 30 mph increasing to 10 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Windy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 57 to 67 near the shore to 50 to 58 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

South Big Island

Tonight: Windy. Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows around 72 near the shore to around 53 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds 10 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Windy. Isolated showers. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 63 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Night: Windy. Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows around 70 near the shore to around 51 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Puna

Tonight: Cloudy. Frequent showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 57 to 66 near the shore to 48 to 54 at 4000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight. Gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Sunday: Cloudy. Frequent showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon. Highs 72 to 77 near the shore to around 59 at 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Sunday Night: Cloudy with frequent showers. Lows 55 to 65 near the shore to 46 to 54 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Waikoloa

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows around 70 near the shore to 48 to 53 above 4000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday: Windy. Mostly sunny in the morning, then partly sunny with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs 78 to 84 near the shore to around 65 above 4000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph shifting to the north up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Windy. Lows around 69 near the shore to 47 to 52 above 4000 feet. East winds up to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Trade winds will strengthen Sunday into Monday, then persist through much of the week, bringing periods of showers to mainly windward and mauka locations. A Wind Advisory has been issued for the typically windier higher terrain areas, passes, and areas immediately south through west of mountains across all islands for Sunday through Sunday night.

Short term update

Issued at 847 PM HST Sat Feb 14 2026
Satellite shows mostly cloudy skies this evening across the state. Radar indicated light showers on windward sides of all islands, especially on Big Island. A wind advisory remains in effect for the usual windy places (mainly windward), and a small craft advisory is in effect for all coastal waters. Little change is expected overnight, and no changes to the forecast will be made at this time.

Aviation

Issued at 847 PM HST Sat Feb 14 2026
Moderate to breezy trades through tonight with a slight increase for the next few days. Low cigs and SHRA should primarily affect windward and mauka areas with some limited spillover to leeward areas. MVFR conds possible in any SHRA otherwise VFR should prevail.
AIRMET Sierra is in effect for mtn obsc for windward portions of Kauai Oahu and Maui as well as the Big Island.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for mod turb downwind of terrain due to the breezy trade winds. This will likely be needed for the next several days with trades expected to increase.

Prev discussion

. Issued at 352 PM HST Sat Feb 14 2026
Radar and satellite imagery this afternoon show isolated showers moving into most windward areas on moderate to breezy trade winds, with a slightly higher concentration of low clouds and showers affecting windward portions of the Big Island and Maui. The motion of these clouds and showers indicates the low-level steering flow has taken on a subtle southeasterly component, a pattern that is expected to persist over the next several days even as surface trade winds remain generally easterly. In addition, patches of high-level cirrus continue to stream overhead from the west, which could make for a particularly dynamic sunset this evening.
Looking ahead, a robust 1045 mb surface high far north of the state will drift south-southeastward through the weekend, positioned between two areas of low pressure – one north of Midway and another off the California coast. As this pattern evolves, the pressure gradient across the main Hawaiian Islands will tighten, leading to strengthening trade winds. The moderate to breezy trades observed today are expected to become windy and gusty on Sunday, especially as a band of enhanced moisture moves through the area. This moisture plume, currently evident on satellite imagery roughly 400 miles to the east, is forecast to arrive tomorrow on the strengthening trade wind flow. Its arrival will likely increase windward and mauka cloud cover and shower activity, while also enhancing the potential for stronger gusts to mix down within showers.
Given the combination of a strengthening pressure gradient and the added contribution from convective mixing within showers, the main short-term concern is whether winds will reach Wind Advisory criteria. Recent high-resolution model guidance continues to support advisory-level winds (sustained speeds near or above 30 mph and/or gusts exceeding 50 mph) particularly across the typically windier areas. As a result, a Wind Advisory has been issued for these zones beginning tomorrow and continuing through tomorrow night, though an extension may be needed. The strongest gusts are expected across the eastern end of the state.
Breezy to locally windy trade winds are expected to persist through at least midweek, bringing periodic increases in clouds and showers to windward and mauka locations.
For the latter half of the week into the weekend, discrepancies between the GFS and ECMWF gradually increase. Regardless, a trade wind pattern looks to persist across the state with windward and mauka focused showers, and trade wind speeds are expected to ease slightly.
AVIATION… Issued at 847 PM HST Sat Feb 14 2026
Moderate to breezy trades through tonight with a slight increase for the next few days. Low cigs and SHRA should primarily affect windward and mauka areas with some limited spillover to leeward areas. MVFR conds possible in any SHRA otherwise VFR should prevail.
AIRMET Sierra is in effect for mtn obsc for windward portions of Kauai Oahu and Maui as well as the Big Island.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for mod turb downwind of terrain due to the breezy trade winds. This will likely be needed for the next several days with trades expected to increase.

Marine

Issued at 352 PM HST Sat Feb 14 2026
A strong high far north of the state will produce windy and rough conditions across all area waters through at least the middle of next week. The current strong trade winds will strengthen another notch on Sunday with widespread strong to near gales expected across the coastal and offshore waters. The windier channels around Maui County should see wind speeds increasing during the day tomorrow to gale force speeds. A Gale Warning has been issued for Sunday and Sunday night for the Alenuihaha and Pailolo channels. Elsewhere, a Small Craft Advisory (SCA) remains in effect due to a combination of winds and seas. Winds may ease slightly by Monday, but overall strong to near gales will continue across the state through the middle of next week.
Nearshore buoys such as the Mokapu buoy has been showing a steady rise over the past 12 hours. Surf along east facing shores have now reached advisory thresholds and will continue to build through Sunday night as the trade winds strengthen another notch. High Surf Advisory is now in effect for east facing exposures of Kauai, Oahu, Molokai, Maui and the Big Island through Monday night. This advisory could very well get extended through the middle of next week due to the strong trade winds persisting across the state.
The current small medium period northwest to north-northwest swell will steadily decline this evening through Sunday. Minimal energy is expected from the northwest during the first half of next week, although select exposures should see some wind swell. A small northwest bump is possible towards the second half of next week. Surf along south shores will remain small but a slight increase is expected for areas exposed to the trade wind swell.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory from 6 AM Sunday to 6 AM HST Monday for Big Island Interior, Big Island North, Big Island South, Big Island Southeast, East Honolulu, Honolulu Metro, Kahoolawe, Kauai Mountains, Kauai North, Kauai South, Kauai Southwest, Kipahulu, Kohala, Koolau Leeward, Lanai Leeward, Lanai Mauka, Lanai Windward, Maui Central Valley North, Maui Central Valley South, Maui Leeward West, Maui Windward West, Molokai Leeward South, Molokai North, Molokai Southeast, Molokai West, Molokai Windward, South Haleakala, Waianae Coast, Waianae Mountains, Windward Haleakala.
High Surf Advisory until 6 AM HST Tuesday for Big Island East, Big Island North, Big Island Southeast, East Honolulu, Kauai East, Kauai South, Kipahulu, Koolau Windward, Maui Windward West, Molokai Southeast, Molokai Windward, Olomana, Windward Haleakala.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Monday for Big Island Leeward Waters, Big Island Southeast Waters, Big Island Windward Waters, Kaiwi Channel, Kauai Channel, Kauai Leeward Waters, Kauai Northwest Waters, Kauai Windward Waters, Maalaea Bay, Maui County Leeward Waters, Maui County Windward Waters, Oahu Leeward Waters, Oahu Windward Waters.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Sunday for Alenuihaha Channel, Pailolo Channel.
Gale Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 6 AM HST Monday for Alenuihaha Channel, Pailolo Channel.

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Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov