Hilo

Tonight: Occasional showers. Lows 57 to 66 near the shore to 48 to 54 at 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 77 near the shore to around 62 at 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Night: Occasional showers. Lows 57 to 66 near the shore to 47 to 54 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Kona

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows 67 to 72 near the shore to 44 to 51 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 64 near 5000 feet. West winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows around 69 near the shore to 44 to 50 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Waimea

Tonight: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 58 to 68 near the shore to 51 to 60 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday: Breezy. Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 77 near the shore to 65 to 74 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 25 mph increasing to 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Night: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 58 to 68 near the shore to 50 to 59 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Kohala

Tonight: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 58 to 68 near the shore to 51 to 60 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday: Breezy. Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 77 near the shore to 65 to 74 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 25 mph increasing to 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Night: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 58 to 68 near the shore to 50 to 59 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

South Big Island

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows around 71 near the shore to around 51 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds 10 to 25 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Breezy. Isolated showers. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 64 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Lows around 72 near the shore to around 51 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph.

Puna

Tonight: Occasional showers. Lows 57 to 66 near the shore to 48 to 54 at 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 77 near the shore to around 62 at 4000 feet. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Night: Occasional showers. Lows 57 to 66 near the shore to 47 to 54 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Waikoloa

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows 68 to 73 near the shore to 47 to 53 above 4000 feet. Southeast winds up to 20 mph.

Friday: Breezy. Mostly sunny in the morning, then mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs 79 to 84 near the shore to 62 to 69 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70 near the shore to 47 to 52 above 4000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Trade winds will continue through the weekend and into next week, bringing showers to the usual areas, with Sunday seeing the most showers. A trough may move close enough to put us in a wetter pattern from the middle to the end of next week, but confidence is not high at this time.

Short term update

Issued at 915 PM HST Thu Feb 12 2026
No changes to the forecast philosophy at this time, and with the forecast on track, no updates anticipated this evening.

Prev discussion

Issued at 307 PM HST Thu Feb 12 2026
Scattered showers were occurring this afternoon across all islands, favoring windward and mauka areas, but also in the Kona region of Big Island. Precipitation recorded so far today is generally around a tenth of an inch or so, with higher amounts at higher elevations and in some windward locations. Skies were partly to mostly cloudy, and highly variable in both time and space. Trade winds were blowing out of the east averaging 10-20 mph with gusts 20-30 mph.
A strong surface high north of the state, associated with a high- amplitude upper level ridge, will get even stronger through Saturday before weakening Sunday into early next week. The result for our weather will be a continuation of trade winds and the typical windward and mauka showers that come with that. Winds will be moderate, but below advisory threshold over land.
An enhanced band of moisture will move east to west through the state Sunday into Sunday night, bringing a slight increase in showers. The upper level ridge referenced earlier will shift east and weaken Monday into Tuesday as a high-amplitude trough attempts to move east across the central Pacific. By Wednesday and Thursday of next week, models show a large spread of potential strength and location of this next upper trough. The latest deterministic GFS shows a moderate closed low moving into position just a few hundred miles northwest of the state. This would like put us back in a wet pattern for the middle to latter part of next week. The latest EC has most of the energy going farther north of the state, with only weak troughing to our west. The ensembles are split as well, so we will continue to watch this potential system over the coming days until some convergence in solutions occurs.

Aviation

Issued at 307 PM HST Thu Feb 12 2026
Breezy trades will continue to persist over most of the island chain. Intermittent mountain and windward showers are expected to persist as well, with MVFR conditions possible under shower activity. Leeward sites expected to remain VFR.
AIRMET Sierra is in effect for mountain obscuration for Kauai, Oahu, Molokai, Maui, and the Big Island for windward sections due to ongoing showers and low ceilings. Conditions are largely expected to persist through the evening.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for moderate turbulence below 7 kft for leeward sides of the islands. Conditions are expected to persist for the next several days.

Marine

Issued at 915 PM HST Thu Feb 12 2026
Strong high pressure building far north of the waters will continue to drift east supporting moderate to strong easterly trade winds and elevated seas into next week. Winds look to maintain strong speeds but veer slightly early next week as high pressure continues to tracks east and a potential disturbance may develop to the west northwest of the islands too. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) is in effect for all coastal waters through Friday night and will likely be extended through the weekend.
A small to moderate medium to long period northwest swell will continue to build slowly overnight and peak Friday into Saturday just below High Surf Advisory (HSA) levels, before declining through the weekend. Looking into next week, small background northwest swell energy is expected through the forecast period.
Surf along east facing shores will continue to build over all waters into this weekend and early next week due to persistent strong trades locally and upstream of the islands. A HSA is likely for east facing shores over the weekend.
Surf along south shores remains small with some background trade wind swell for select exposures.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Saturday for Alenuihaha Channel, Big Island Leeward Waters, Big Island Southeast Waters, Big Island Windward Waters, Kaiwi Channel, Kauai Channel, Kauai Leeward Waters, Kauai Northwest Waters, Kauai Windward Waters, Maalaea Bay, Maui County Leeward Waters, Maui County Windward Waters, Oahu Leeward Waters, Oahu Windward Waters, Pailolo Channel.

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Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov