Hilo

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 66 near the shore to 48 to 54 at 4000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Haze. Highs 76 to 82 near the shore to around 67 at 4000 feet. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 67 near the shore to 49 to 54 at 4000 feet. South winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Kona

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows around 69 near the shore to 43 to 51 near 5000 feet. Light winds.

Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Haze. Highs 80 to 85 near the shore to around 67 near 5000 feet. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows around 70 near the shore to 44 to 52 near 5000 feet. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph after midnight.

Waimea

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 67 near the shore to 52 to 58 near 3000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Haze. Highs 73 to 81 near the shore to 69 to 76 near 3000 feet. Southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows 60 to 69 near the shore to 53 to 59 near 3000 feet. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

Kohala

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 67 near the shore to 52 to 58 near 3000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Haze. Highs 73 to 81 near the shore to 69 to 76 near 3000 feet. Southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows 60 to 69 near the shore to 53 to 59 near 3000 feet. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

South Big Island

Tonight: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows around 70 near the shore to around 50 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Haze. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 64 near 5000 feet. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows around 71 near the shore to around 50 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Puna

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 66 near the shore to 48 to 54 at 4000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Haze. Highs 76 to 82 near the shore to around 67 at 4000 feet. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 67 near the shore to 49 to 54 at 4000 feet. South winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Waikoloa

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows 67 to 72 near the shore to 47 to 52 above 4000 feet. Light winds becoming southeast up to 10 mph after midnight.

Sunday: Partly sunny with isolated showers. Haze. Highs around 82 near the shore to 65 to 72 above 4000 feet. West winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows 68 to 73 near the shore to 48 to 53 above 4000 feet. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after midnight.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Relatively light winds and stable weather conditions will continue into Sunday. A cold front will march eastward down the island chain from Monday evening through Tuesday, before stalling out and diminishing near the Big Island on Wednesday. Moderate to breezy southwesterly winds will blow in ahead of the front and northwest winds will move in after the front passes each island. A stronger cold front will spread showers across the Hawaii region from next week Friday into the weekend. This next cold front may bring periods of heavy rain and thunderstorms as it passes. Cooler temperatures and drier conditions will blow into the region after the front passes each island.

Short term update

The satellite picture this evening shows patchy low cloud areas lingering near Maui and the Big Island, likely the remnants of the dissipated cold front. Elsewhere very stable and dry weather conditions will prevail. Upper air soundings from our weather balloon launches at Lihue and Hilo at 2 PM HST (00Z) this afternoon show temperature inversion heights ranging from 4,000 to 5,000 feet elevation. These low inversion heights are very stable for weather conditions in the Hawaiian Islands and support limited clouds and almost zero rainfall in the short term forecast. These stable weather conditions will start to change tomorrow as southwesterly winds kick up moisture levels ahead of the next cold front, starting over the western islands by Sunday evening. Cloud coverage and shower activity will show increasing trends as temperature inversion heights rise into Monday.

Previous discussion

Issued at 325 PM HST Sat Jan 31 2026
Winds are light and generally out of the southeast, but there is also a sea-breeze component added in so that winds are blowing in from the coast in most areas. Light showers have formed mainly windward and mauka, with precipitation amounts just a few hundredths so far. Otherwise, skies were partly to mostly cloudy. Leeward showers should diminish rapidly after sunset, with windward showers continuing overnight.
Light winds tonight and Sunday will allow VOG to remain an issue for much of the state tonight and Sunday. Then light winds will give way to gusty SW winds over the western end of the state Sunday night. These strong SW winds will spread east across the state Monday in advance of a cold front. This front is forecast to move into Kauai County Monday evening, Oahu around midnight, and Maui County by sunrise Tuesday. It will then slow significantly, reaching the Big Island Tuesday afternoon before stalling out and weakening there through Thursday. The upper level support for this front is not that strong, so brief heavy rain and gusty winds are the main threat. Moderate NW winds immediately behind the front will shift around to NE about 24 hours after the front passes.
Winds will turn southerly and then southwesterly Thursday night through Friday night as a strong front moves in from the northwest. This will pull the remnant moisture from the previous front back northwestward across the state, so an increase in showers is likely even before this new front arrives. The latest guidance has the front reaching the western end of the state Friday night, and then passing over the rest of the state Saturday. This front is still 6-7 days out, so this timing is subject to change. At this time, models depict this as a strong front with significant upper level support, so heavy rain, strong winds, and thunderstorms are possible.

Aviation

Issued at 325 PM HST Sat Jan 31 2026
A weakening trough lingering near the eastern end of the state will bring periods of showers over Maui County and the Big Island through this evening. Brief periods of MVFR conditions are possible with any showers. Shower activity should decrease this evening as land breezes develop. VFR conditions are expected for Sunday as the moisture associated with the weakening trough moves further away from the state. Winds are expected to be light to moderate and generally out of the southerly direction during the Sunday.
AIRMET Sierra is in effect for tempo mountain obscuration above 2000 feet for Maui. Clouds and showers are expected to decrease this evening and the AIRMET will likely be cancelled before midnight tonight.

Marine

Issued at 325 PM HST Sat Jan 31 2026
Trades will continue to weaken this afternoon as high pressure north of the state moves eastward. These lighter trade winds will give way to southeast winds tonight as a surface ridge is pushed over the island chain. South to southwest winds will develop on Sunday and will build to fresh to strong levels Sunday night and Monday as a cold front approaches. This front is expected to pass down the island chain Monday night and Tuesday, and a Small Craft Advisory may be needed for some waters as winds peak Monday into Tuesday.
Large surf along north and west facing shores will gradually fade tonight into Sunday, with another round of elevated surf due early next week. A complex storm low far northwest of Hawaii generated overlapping west- northwest to northwest (295 to 320 degrees) swells that are currently affecting the islands, with the northwest (320 degrees) swell becoming dominant. NOAA offshore buoys northwest of Kauai have been showing these swells slowly declining throughout the day. Based on these observations and the gradual decline in swell noted at the Hanalei and Waimea nearshore buoys, decided to drop the High Surf Warning and go with a High Surf Advisory that is now in effect for north and west facing shores of Niihau, Kauai, Oahu, and Molokai, and north facing shores of Maui and west facing shores of the Big Island through 6 AM HST Sunday morning. In addition, the Small Craft Advisory for waters exposed to the elevated seas has been extended through tonight as seas are expected to remain above threshold into the evening, then slowly decline overnight. Another round of potentially larger northwest swell is expected late Monday through early Thursday.
A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect through Monday. During this time, higher than predicted tides will produce minor flooding along vulnerable low-lying coastal infrastructure as well as some some beach erosion during peak high tides between midnight and sunrise. The elevated tides will also contribute to runup and beach erosion late tonight into early Sunday morning, along north and west shores exposed to the large swell.
Surf along east- and south-facing shores will remain small through the week.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

High Surf Advisory until 6 AM HST Sunday for north and west facing shores of Niihau, Kauai, Oahu, and Molokai. North facing shores of Maui and west facing shores of Big Island.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Sunday for Hawaiian Coastal Waters and Channels exposed to the large northwest swell.

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Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov