Today: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs 76 to 82 near the shore to around 65 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tonight: Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows 62 to 69 near the shore to around 54 at 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Saturday: Cloudy. Numerous showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 76 to 82 near the shore to around 65 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Kona
Today: Partly sunny in the morning, then cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs 81 to 86 near the shore to around 66 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows around 71 near the shore to 49 to 54 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD
Saturday: Partly sunny in the morning, then cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs 81 to 86 near the shore to around 65 near 5000 feet. West winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Waimea
Today: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 77 near the shore to 65 to 76 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 62 to 69 near the shore to 54 to 61 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs around 77 near the shore to 65 to 75 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Kohala
Today: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 77 near the shore to 65 to 76 near 3000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 62 to 69 near the shore to 54 to 61 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs around 77 near the shore to 65 to 75 near 3000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent.
South Big Island
Today: Partly sunny in the morning then becoming cloudy. Breezy. Highs around 82 near the shore to around 66 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph.
Tonight: Cloudy and breezy. Lows around 72 near the shore to around 52 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds up to 20 mph.
Saturday: Breezy. Partly sunny in the morning, then cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 83 near the shore to around 65 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Puna
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD
Today: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs 76 to 82 near the shore to around 65 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tonight: Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows 62 to 69 near the shore to around 54 at 4000 feet. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Saturday: Cloudy. Numerous showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 76 to 82 near the shore to around 65 at 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Waikoloa
Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Breezy. Highs 80 to 87 near the shore to 64 to 71 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 20 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows around 72 near the shore to 51 to 56 above 4000 feet. East winds up to 15 mph.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Highs 81 to 86 near the shore to 63 to 69 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Detailed Forecast
Synopsis
A high pressure ridge north of the islands will keep moderate to breezy easterly trade winds over the islands, peaking today and then decreasing slightly into the middle of next week. Clouds and showers will favor typical windward and mountain areas, trending higher in the overnight to early morning hours.
Discussion
Satellite imagery this morning continues to show a large band of high level cirrus clouds produced by the subtropical jet stream are spreading over the Hawaii region from west to east today. Fairly stable low level clouds are drifting over the islands in moderate to breezy easterly trade winds. These high level cirrus clouds may enhance sunrise and sunset colors through the weekend.
Trade winds will continue to blow across the Hawaiian Islands at moderate to breezy levels through much of next week. Breezy wind speeds will peak today as the high pressure ridge builds in slightly, and then decrease slightly by this weekend as the surface pressure gradient weakens a bit. Trade winds will drive clouds up and over windward island mountains into the middle of next week. Brief periods of showers remain in the forecast mainly over these windward and mountain areas, trending higher in the overnight to early morning hours. Drier leeward areas will see less clouds and only isolated showers due to the subsidence caused by the down sloping trade winds immediately leeward of the eastern mountain ranges of each island. Drying and warming effects produced by this small scale atmospheric compression tends to keep leeward areas more stable and dry in typical trade wind weather patterns.
Only subtle changes are expected in the day to day weather forecast for each island in a fairly stable trade wind weather pattern. Weak upper level troughing north and west of the island chain will bring a slight increase in passing shower activity this weekend, mainly over windward areas in the overnight to early morning time periods. The highest chances for clouds and showers statewide will linger over eastern Maui near Hana, and over the eastern slopes of the Big Island from the Hamakua Coast to Hilo to the Puna District.
Aviation
Moderate to breezy easterly trade winds will persist across the Hawaiian Islands into the weekend. Isolated to scattered showers will favor windward coasts and slopes, with greater coverage expected during the overnight hours. Brief MVFR conditions are possible in moderate showers. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail.
AIRMET Sierra for mountain obscuration remains in effect for windward areas of Kauai, Oahu and the Big Island this morning. Conditions may improve later today, but an uptick in windward showers tonight may require AIRMET Sierra once again. No other AIRMETS are in effect and none are expected.
Marine
High pressure will gradually build westward well to the north of the state today and tonight, keeping fresh to strong trade winds in place across the island chain. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) remains in effect for most waters around Maui County and the Big Island as well as the northwest Kauai waters through 6 AM Saturday. For the windiest waters around Maui and the Big Island the SCA extends through 6 PM Saturday. A trough of low pressure will amplify and linger west of the islands this weekend into early next week, resulting in a slight easing of the trades and a shift to a more east-southeasterly direction over the western end of the state. Moderate to locally strong easterly trades will prevail over the eastern waters.
South shore surf will remain small and below the summer average through the middle of next week, with only small and inconsistent pulses of southwest swell expected. The next significant south- southwest swell (200 deg) appears to move in toward the end of next week. East shore surf will remain near the seasonal average through Friday, followed by a slight decrease this weekend through the middle of next week as the trades ease over and upstream of the islands. Surf along north shores will remain very small with a slight bump possible late Sunday through Monday.
HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Saturday for Kauai Northwest Waters, Kaiwi Channel, Maui County Windward Waters.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Saturday for Maalaea Bay, Pailolo Channel, Alenuihaha Channel, Big Island Leeward Waters, Big Island Southeast Waters.
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